Seven Premier League matches headline Saturday's football action on September 12, with Liverpool, Chelsea, Arsenal and Tottenham all taking centre stage.
There is a clear divide in the betting markets. Chelsea, Liverpool and Arsenal are the three strongest favourites, while Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest, Bournemouth vs Brentford and Tottenham vs Everton offer considerably more uncertainty.
But the shortest odds do not automatically represent the best bets.
Liverpool are priced as strong favourites against a Fulham side that has lost its opening three league matches, while Arsenal arrive at Sunderland with a perfect competitive record and a defence that has conceded only once in three league games. Chelsea, meanwhile, face an unbeaten Hull side that has already collected seven points.
This Premier League predictions today guide examines the latest form, injuries, expected lineups, head-to-head records, goal trends and bookmaker prices before identifying the most interesting betting markets.
Odds are live prices and can change before kick-off.
What Are the Best Premier League Bets Today?
The strongest selections from the seven-match card are:
- Liverpool to win vs Fulham
- Arsenal to win vs Sunderland
- Chelsea to win vs Hull City
- Crystal Palace to win vs Ipswich Town
- Bournemouth vs Brentford — Over 2.5 goals
For a more conservative approach, Liverpool and Arsenal are the two sides with the strongest combination of form and underlying evidence.
Premier League Fixtures and Betting Odds Today
Current 1X2 prices vary between bookmakers. Oddschecker currently lists approximately 1/2 Liverpool, 1/4 Chelsea and 8/15 Arsenal in the win market, while bet365's current prices are around 21/50, 2/9 and 12/25 respectively.
| Match | Favourite | Recommended Market | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest | Aston Villa | Aston Villa Draw No Bet | 3/5 |
| Bournemouth vs Brentford | Bournemouth | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/5 |
| Chelsea vs Hull City | Chelsea | Chelsea to Win | 4/5 |
| Crystal Palace vs Ipswich | Crystal Palace | Crystal Palace to Win | 4/5 |
| Liverpool vs Fulham | Liverpool | Liverpool to Win | 5/5 |
| Tottenham vs Everton | Tottenham | Under 3.5 Goals | 3/5 |
| Sunderland vs Arsenal | Arsenal | Arsenal to Win | 4/5 |
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest Prediction and Betting Tips
Aston Villa welcome Nottingham Forest to Villa Park with neither side enjoying a convincing start to the league campaign.
Villa's recent form is listed as LLD, while Forest are LDD. That makes the home side favourites, but not by enough to make a straight win an obvious selection.
Recent Form
Villa are still searching for their first league victory, while Forest have also struggled to convert their performances into wins.
The head-to-head record provides some encouragement for Villa. Across the previous 16 meetings, Villa have won eight, compared with four Forest victories and four draws. Villa have also scored 32 goals to Forest's 22 in those meetings.
Team News and Injuries
Villa are without Amadou Onana, while João Gomes is suspended. Manzambi is also doubtful.
Forest have fewer concerns, with Nicolò Savona listed as injured.
The midfield absences make Villa's short price less attractive than it initially appears.
Betting Odds
Current markets put Villa around 2.20–2.40, with Forest around 3.25–3.30, depending on the bookmaker.
Best Bet
Aston Villa Draw No Bet
The home side has the stronger historical record and home advantage, but the injury and suspension situation makes insurance against a draw valuable.
Confidence: 3/5
Score prediction: Aston Villa 2–1 Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth vs Brentford Prediction and Betting Tips
This is one of the most difficult winner markets on Saturday.
Bournemouth are still without a league win under Marco Rose, having lost to Manchester City before drawing against Everton and Newcastle. Brentford, meanwhile, enter the match unbeaten after three league games.
Recent Form
Bournemouth's form is LDD.
Brentford's form is WDD.
That gives the visitors the better recent momentum despite Bournemouth having home advantage.
Team News
Bournemouth are missing Kroupi, Araujo, Adli and Milosavljevic.
Brentford have Van den Berg and Milambo unavailable, while Jensen is injured and Collins is doubtful.
H2H and Goals
Brentford took four points from the two league meetings last season, winning 4–1 at home before the teams drew 0–0 on the south coast.
That previous 4–1 result shows the fixture can open up, but the 0–0 also demonstrates how difficult the matchup can be to read.
Best Bet
Over 2.5 Goals
This is preferable to choosing a winner.
Alternative: Brentford Double Chance
Confidence: 3/5
Score prediction: Bournemouth 1–2 Brentford
Chelsea vs Hull City Prediction and Betting Tips
Chelsea are the biggest home favourites on the Saturday card, but Hull's excellent start makes this more interesting than the odds suggest.
Chelsea Form
Chelsea enter the game with WWL league form and have scored heavily this season. One current report puts their total at 16 goals across five competitive matches.
Their most recent league defeat was a 2–1 loss against Arsenal.
Hull's Start
Hull have been one of the surprises of the opening weeks.
The promoted side have collected seven points from three league matches and have not conceded in those opening three league games. They have also beaten Manchester United and drawn with Aston Villa.
Chelsea, meanwhile, have conceded in each of their last three matches according to Squawka.
H2H
Chelsea have a huge historical advantage.
Across 13 previous meetings, Chelsea have won 11, with two draws and no Hull victories. Chelsea have scored 29 goals to Hull's five.
Team News
Chelsea are without Moisés Caicedo, Marco Palestra, Jordan Henderson and Emmanuel Emegha.
Hull have several absences too, including goalkeeper Jack Butland.
Betting Odds
Chelsea are priced around 1.20–1.25 by several bookmakers, illustrating just how strongly the market favours the Blues.
Best Bet
Chelsea to Win
For bettors looking for additional value, Chelsea Win + Over 2.5 Goals is an interesting alternative, although Hull's defensive record creates some risk.
Confidence: 4/5
Score prediction: Chelsea 2–0 Hull City
Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Prediction and Betting Tips
Crystal Palace host Ipswich at Selhurst Park in a fixture where the home side has the stronger market position, but the goal markets deserve attention.
Recent Form
Palace's league form is LLW, while Ipswich are WLL. Palace finally ended their losing start by coming from behind twice to beat Fulham 3–2.
Ipswich started with a victory before losing their next two.
Goals
Both teams have conceded eight goals across their opening three league matches, according to current match data. That is a major reason some analysts are leaning toward an open game.
Football Whispers also reports that 75% of matches involving either side this season have gone over 2.5 goals.
H2H
Palace have won the most recent meetings, including a 1–0 victory in March 2025.
Team News
Palace have significant attacking concerns, with Mateta and Sarr injured and Nketiah doubtful.
Ipswich have doubts over Philogene-Bidace and Matusiwa, while Jack Taylor is injured.
Best Bet
Crystal Palace to Win
However, there is an important alternative:
Over 2.5 Goals
Given the defensive numbers, the goals market may actually offer more value than the short Palace price.
Confidence: 4/5 for Palace; 3/5 for Over 2.5
Score prediction: Crystal Palace 2–1 Ipswich
Liverpool vs Fulham Prediction and Betting Tips
Liverpool are the strongest overall selection of the day.
Liverpool arrive at Anfield after victories over Ipswich and Atlético Madrid, while Fulham have lost all three of their opening league matches.
Liverpool Form
The Reds have shown signs of improvement under Andoni Iraola.
They beat Ipswich 2–0 before producing a 2–1 comeback victory over Atlético Madrid in the Champions League.
Fulham Form
Fulham are LLL and have conceded seven goals in three league matches while scoring four.
That combination suggests they can create opportunities but have not found the defensive balance required to consistently collect points.
H2H
Liverpool have won eight of their last 11 home meetings with Fulham, scoring 22 goals during that run.
Team News
Liverpool have several absentees, including Conor Bradley, Giovanni Leoni, Hugo Ekitike, Federico Chiesa and Endo. Cody Gakpo and Joe Gomez are doubtful.
Fulham's main listed injury is Tom Cairney.
Bradley Barcola is expected to be fit after his Champions League appearance.
Betting Odds
Liverpool are priced around 1.44–1.50 in the current win market.
Best Bet
Liverpool to Win
For greater odds:
Liverpool Win + Over 1.5 Match Goals
Liverpool's attacking quality and Fulham's seven goals conceded make the combination attractive.
Confidence: 5/5
Score prediction: Liverpool 3–1 Fulham
Tottenham vs Everton Prediction and Betting Tips
This is arguably the most dangerous match for accumulator bettors.
Tottenham Form
Spurs are LLD and have failed to score in their opening three league games.
They are still searching for their first league victory under Roberto De Zerbi.
Everton Form
Everton are WDD and remain unbeaten in their last three league games.
That includes positive results against Bournemouth and Manchester United.
Team News
Tottenham have Xavi Simons, Dejan Kulusevski and Wilson Odobert injured, while James Maddison is doubtful.
Everton have only Nørgaard listed as injured.
H2H
Tottenham have the historical advantage, winning 17 of the previous 40 meetings, compared with eight Everton victories and 15 draws.
But current form matters more than the historical record here.
Best Bet
Under 3.5 Goals
Tottenham's lack of goals and Everton's cautious style point toward a relatively tight contest.
Alternative: Tottenham Draw No Bet
Avoid putting Tottenham straight-win into a large accumulator.
Confidence: 3/5
Score prediction: Tottenham 1–1 Everton
Sunderland vs Arsenal Prediction and Betting Tips
Arsenal have the strongest form of any team playing today.
Arsenal Form
The reigning champions have won all three league matches and also defeated Napoli 1–0 in the Champions League.
They have conceded just one league goal so far.
Their current league form is WWW.
Sunderland Form
Sunderland have four points from their opening three league games and arrive after a League Cup victory over Hull.
Their home support could make this a difficult assignment for Arsenal.
H2H
Arsenal have dominated this fixture historically. Opta's pre-match model gives Arsenal a 65.1% chance of victory, while Sunderland have won only once in their last 29 Premier League meetings with Arsenal.
Team News
Sunderland have Diarra and Mundle injured.
Arsenal have William Saliba and Cristhian Mosquera injured, while Jurrien Timber is doubtful.
Goals
This is where the market becomes interesting.
Arsenal have conceded only once in three league matches, and TNT Sports' model predicts Sunderland 0–1 Arsenal, with Under 2.5 Goals as its top tip.
Another statistical model gives Under 2.5 a 52% probability and Arsenal a 43% win probability, while suggesting BTTS Yes at 52%.
Best Bet
Arsenal to Win
For a higher-value combination:
Arsenal Win + Under 3.5 Goals
The safer pure goals angle is:
Under 2.5 Goals
Confidence: 4/5
Score prediction: Sunderland 0–1 Arsenal
Best Premier League Bets Today
| Rank | Match | Best Bet | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool vs Fulham | Liverpool Win | 5/5 |
| 2 | Sunderland vs Arsenal | Arsenal Win | 4/5 |
| 3 | Chelsea vs Hull | Chelsea Win | 4/5 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace vs Ipswich | Palace Win | 4/5 |
| 5 | Bournemouth vs Brentford | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/5 |
| 6 | Tottenham vs Everton | Under 3.5 Goals | 3/5 |
| 7 | Aston Villa vs Forest | Villa Draw No Bet | 3/5 |
Top 3 Best Bets Today
Liverpool to Win
The strongest combination of home advantage, recent form, opponent form and historical performance at Anfield.
Fulham have lost their opening three league matches, while Liverpool have won eight of their last 11 home meetings with Fulham.
Arsenal to Win
Arsenal have won every league game so far and have conceded just once.
Their defensive record makes the straight win more attractive than chasing a large handicap.
Chelsea to Win
Chelsea's price is short, but the historical record against Hull is extremely strong and the Blues possess significantly greater attacking quality.
The biggest warning is Hull's excellent defensive start.
Safe Premier League Accumulator
For readers wanting a relatively conservative combination:
Liverpool to Win
Arsenal to Win
Chelsea to Win
This keeps the accumulator to three strong favourites rather than adding uncertain fixtures simply to increase the potential return.
However, even a three-leg accumulator remains high-risk because one failed selection loses the entire bet.
Balanced Premier League Accumulator
A more aggressive combination could be:
Liverpool to Win
Chelsea to Win
Crystal Palace to Win
Arsenal to Win
The Palace selection carries more uncertainty because both sides have conceded eight goals in three league games.
Best Value Bets Today
The best value does not necessarily come from the shortest-priced favourite.
Aston Villa Draw No Bet
Villa have the stronger H2H record but are dealing with midfield absences. Draw protection improves the risk profile.
Bournemouth vs Brentford Over 2.5 Goals
The winner market is difficult to call because Bournemouth are winless while Brentford are unbeaten.
Arsenal Win + Under 3.5 Goals
Arsenal's defensive numbers make this more interesting than an aggressive Arsenal handicap.
Liverpool Win + Over 1.5 Goals
Fulham have conceded seven goals in three league matches, while Liverpool have demonstrated consistent scoring ability.
Matches to Avoid Betting On
Tottenham vs Everton
Tottenham's desperation for a first win conflicts with Everton's unbeaten start.
The market may favour Spurs because they are at home, but their inability to score makes a straight win difficult to trust.
Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest
Villa are favourites, but their injuries and suspension reduce the confidence in a home win.
Draw No Bet is preferable to a straight Villa victory.
Bournemouth vs Brentford
The teams have contrasting recent form, but Brentford have already shown they can frustrate Bournemouth.
The goals market is more appealing than picking the winner.
Premier League Predictions Summary
| Match | Prediction | Best Market | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest | 2–1 | Villa Draw No Bet | Medium |
| Bournemouth vs Brentford | 1–2 | Over 2.5 Goals | Medium |
| Chelsea vs Hull | 2–0 | Chelsea Win | Lower |
| Crystal Palace vs Ipswich | 2–1 | Palace Win | Medium |
| Liverpool vs Fulham | 3–1 | Liverpool Win | Lower |
| Tottenham vs Everton | 1–1 | Under 3.5 Goals | Medium |
| Sunderland vs Arsenal | 0–1 | Arsenal Win | Lower |
Final Verdict
Saturday's Premier League betting card contains three particularly strong favourites: Liverpool, Arsenal and Chelsea.
Liverpool stand out as the strongest selection because their home record against Fulham combines with the visitors' difficult start. Arsenal also deserve significant respect after winning their first three league games and conceding only once.
Chelsea are another logical winner pick, but Hull's unbeaten start and three consecutive clean sheets make the Blues less attractive for aggressive handicap bets.
For value, Liverpool Win + Over 1.5 Goals and Arsenal Win + Under 3.5 Goals are more interesting than simply chasing the shortest available prices.
Meanwhile, Tottenham vs Everton and Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest are matches where restraint may be the smarter strategy.
The most important final step is to check confirmed starting lineups and the latest bookmaker prices before kick-off. Predicted lineups can change, injuries can be updated and betting odds move continuously.
Football betting involves risk. These selections are analytical predictions, not guarantees. Never bet more than you can afford to lose.
Premier League Betting FAQs
What are the best Premier League bets today?
The strongest selections are Liverpool to win, Arsenal to win and Chelsea to win. Liverpool have the clearest combination of form, home advantage and opponent weakness.
Which team is the strongest favourite today?
Chelsea are the shortest-priced home favourite, followed by Liverpool and Arsenal. Current bookmaker prices vary, so bettors should compare prices before placing a wager.
Which Premier League match is hardest to predict?
Tottenham vs Everton is one of the most difficult because Tottenham are winless and goalless in the league while Everton are unbeaten in their last three.
What is the safest betting market in football?
There is no guaranteed betting market. Double Chance and Draw No Bet generally provide more protection than a straight match-winner selection, but they also usually offer lower returns.
Should I bet before confirmed lineups?
For higher-confidence bets, it is generally better to check confirmed lineups first, particularly when important players are listed as doubtful or injured.
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